Forecasting dengue cases in Western Visayas, Philippines using a seasonal ARIMA model

Authors

  • John Paolo R. Maulion ⋅ PH National Institute of Physics, University of the Philippines Diliman
  • Raul V. Destura ⋅ PH National Institutes of Health, University of the Philippines Manila
  • Johnrob . Y. Bantang ⋅ PH National Institute of Physics, University of the Philippines Diliman

Abstract

We used the Box-Jenkins approach to fit a univariate seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model of weekly dengue cases in the Western Visayas region, Philippines from 2008 to 2013. This model was then utilized to extract forecasts of dengue cases for 2014, which were compared with the observed data.

Proceedings SPP 2016 Cover

Downloads

Published

2016-08-18

Issue

2016: Proceedings of the 34th Samahang Pisika ng Pilipinas Physics Conference

Section

Complex Systems and Data Analytics

License

Copyright License Agreement for Full Articles

How to Cite

[1]
“Forecasting dengue cases in Western Visayas, Philippines using a seasonal ARIMA model”, Proc. SPP, vol. 34, no. 1, pp. SPP–2016, Aug. 2016, Accessed: Apr. 08, 2026. [Online]. Available: https://proceedings.spp-online.org/article/view/SPP-2016-1C-06