Criticality in networked markets: profit-seeking behavior destabilizes evolutionarily stable states

Authors

  • Earl Juanico ⋅ PH Department of Mathematics, School of Science and Engineering, Ateneo de Manila University

Abstract

Oscillation phenomenon in the dynamics of network-marketing firms is empirically observed. Its origin is explored using a population-dynamic model of firm membership. Members, who are classified into two types distinguished by socio-economic status (SES), are driven by the search for profit. A perturbation expansion reveals that the fluctuations ⟨ξ2⟩ of the fraction of the high-SES type diverges as ⟨ξ2⟩∼ |μ − μc|−1 as μ → μc, where μ is the relative per capita rate of recruiting the high-SES type and μc is the critical value coinciding with a bifurcation of the population dynamics. Diverging fluctuations destabilize the evolution-
arily stable state (ESS) of an evolutionary game between the types consequently generating oscillations in the number of members of the firm. Empirical data from publicly-listed network-marketing firms reveal Hurst exponents that are greater than 0.5, which confirm the presence of criticality as predicted by the model.

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Article ID

SPP2012-4B-3

Section

Complex Systems

Published

2012-10-22

How to Cite

[1]
E Juanico, Criticality in networked markets: profit-seeking behavior destabilizes evolutionarily stable states, Proceedings of the Samahang Pisika ng Pilipinas 30, SPP2012-4B-3 (2012). URL: https://proceedings.spp-online.org/article/view/SPP2012-4B-3.