Modeling local climate extremes in central Philippines

Abstract

The climate extremes of selected areas in central Philippines are simulated using a regional climate model. Model results are validated with observed data from station and gridded reanalyses using different metrics. While the observed seasonal variability in mean temperature and rainfall are reproduced in the model, magnitudes are slightly underestimated. Probability density functions indicate the model’s tendency to overestimate temperature extremes. Recent trends in the extremes indices show fewer hot days and fewer cool nights at the selected sites.