Regression Modeling of Dengue Incidence Using Time-Lagged Meteorological Factors

Authors

Rosenel T. Dahipon National Institute of Physics, University of the Philippines Diliman, Quezon City, Philippines
Daniel Vincent M. Navalta Department of Physical Sciences, Polytechnic University of the Philippines, Manila, Philippines
Rhenish C. Simon Physics Department, De La Salle University, Manila, Philippines

Abstract

We develop simple models using three regression techniques — LM, PM, and GLM — to investigate the influence of C with d in the National Capital Region (NCR). We use the C with various time lags to determine the highest coefficient of determination r², which we employed to develop the models. Subsequently, we determined which model, utilizing C data from stations SG, N, and PA, best described the distribution of dengue incidences in the NCR based on their corresponding r²values. Our results show that linear model LM with the data from N station can best explains the variability of dengue cases in the NCR.

Issue

2024: Proceedings of the 42nd Samahang Pisika ng Pilipinas Physics Conference

Article ID

SPP-2024-PB-14

Section

Poster Session B (Complex Systems, Computational Physics, and Astrophysics)

Published

2024-06-28

How to Cite

[1]

RT Dahipon, DVM Navalta, and RC Simon, Regression Modeling of Dengue Incidence Using Time-Lagged Meteorological Factors, Proceedings of the Samahang Pisika ng Pilipinas 42, SPP-2024-PB-14 (2024). URL: https://proceedings.spp-online.org/article/view/SPP-2024-PB-14.