Agent-based modeling of the spread of fire in urban settlements in the Philippines

Abstract

We develop a model for the spread of fire in urban settlements through an extension of NetLogo’s forest fire model. Four parameters that are considered relevant to highly dense and highly populated urban settlements are introduced and analyzed in this paper. Statistics relevant to fire disasters such as the percentage of burned structures are determined through multiple simulations of the model under varying parameterisations. We evaluate these four new parameters for future applications in Metro Manila disaster vulnerability maps developed by the Ateneo Innovation Center.