Statistical analysis of sports dynamics
Abstract
The dynamics of sports is statistically investigated. We propose correlation as a measure of predictability. An agent-based model is used to simulate the dynamics resulting to highly predictable game results. Different model parameters are tuned to predict the behavior of the game. Results from numerical data exhibit a good degree of predictability because of the high average correlation and low standard deviation in the rankings. We also match the model predicted rankings to a real data ranking and obtained a good degree of predictability. The difference in the dynamics of the selected individual and team sport is observed from real data using the model.