Are quarantines always good? Modeling the spread of epidemics in Cauayan City using complex networks

Abstract

Coronavirus disease or COVID-19, the disease that toppled the normalcy of the world and made its appearance back in January 2020, has created a huge impact in all aspects of life. Implementing quarantines are often the initial step in containing the rapid spread of the disease in a society. In this work, we look into how the structure of the road network comes into play in the spread of the disease such as COVID-19 in a city like Cauayan, Isabela by utilizing concepts from complex networks. We show that randomly or blindly implementing quarantines, to a certain extent, can fuel the spread of infection, leading to a performance worse than without its implementation.