Predicting human mobility in the Philippines using the radiation model
Abstract
Using the radiation model for human mobility, we estimate the degree of mobility of commuters in the 82 provinces in the Philippines. It was observed from the model that small scale flux was more frequent for the prediction of year 2010. Comparing with port data from the Philippine Port Authority (PPA), it was noted that the plot between the ratios of the port and predicted data was non-linear. This behavior of the ratios may have been due to errors in the data or wrong assumptions of the model for the Philippines. More data is recommended to give a better estimate of the model's feasibility in the Philippines especially since using only port data may discard the more significant amount of flux via land or air routes.