Characterization of the historical southwest monsoon rainfall in the Philippines

Authors

Faye Cruz Manila Observatory
Marcelino Villafuerte Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration
Gemma Narisma Manila Observatory, Ateneo de Manila University

Abstract

The historical behavior of the southwest monsoon (SWM) rainfall is examined, particularly over western Philippines, using observed data and model results. A rainfall anomaly index shows a potential seasonal reversal in the SWM rainfall in response to the El Niño Southern Oscillation. A drying trend in the SWM rainfall is also found in the recent decades over selected stations. The regional climate model used is able to capture the spatial distribution of SWM rainfall and direction of prevailing winds. Validation tests further illustrate the model’s skill with correlations and skill scores of up to 0.97.

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Issue

2011: Proceedings of the 29th Samahang Pisika ng Pilipinas National Physics Congress

Article ID

SPP2011-4C-1

Section

Atmospheric Studies

Published

2011-10-24

How to Cite

[1]

F Cruz, M Villafuerte, and G Narisma, Characterization of the historical southwest monsoon rainfall in the Philippines, Proceedings of the Samahang Pisika ng Pilipinas 29, SPP2011-4C-1 (2011). URL: https://proceedings.spp-online.org/article/view/SPP2011-4C-1.